ITR Experts Say Great Depression

Top 5 Best and Worst US States to Be in During the 2030s Depression

By ITR Economics on February 6, 2024

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The coming depression of the 2030s will have a varying impact on countries across the globe. Within the US, too, some states will fare better than others. Whether it is affordability, job availability, or simply being a good place to live, each state will have its own opportunities to leverage and challenges to overcome. Based on our own criteria, we have compiled a list of the five best US states and the five worst US states to be in during the 2030s depression.

10 Factors Used to Determine State Ranking

There are 10 factors involved in these lists. The criteria we used to rank which states will be hit the hardest and which will fare the best in the 2030s include:

  1. Tax climate
  2. Economic diversity
  3. Unfunded pension liability per capita
  4. State debt per capita
  5. Job creation
  6. Tax revenue per capita
  7. Persons in poverty
  8. Persons without health insurance
  9. Percentage of population over 65 years old
  10. Housing affordability

Top 5 US States With the Lowest Level of Risk in the 2030s 

  1. Utah
  2. Georgia
  3. Idaho
  4. South Dakota
  5. Oklahoma

The states with the lowest risk have several factors in common, including population growth, economic diversity, and low per capita levels of state debt and unfunded state pension liability. Comparatively lower percentages of people under age 65 without health insurance and of people in poverty are also important considerations.

Top 5 US States With the Highest Level of Risk in the 2030s

  1. Connecticut
  2. Rhode Island
  3. Massachusetts
  4. Hawaii
  5. New Jersey

The Northeast claims four of the five states that will face the most risk in the next decade. These East Coast states contend with numerous difficulties, including negative population movement – i.e., people moving out – as well as age and demographic challenges.

Factors such as state population growth can have a significant impact on the success of both businesses and workers. This is especially true for workers with careers in a specific trade, as a declining state population can reduce the amount of available work in that state.

We covered the five best and worst states to be in during the 2030s depression. You can find out where the rest of the states fall in that ranking in our recent Executive Series Webinar.

If you own property across the country and want to know which cities or states will provide the best opportunities for wealth creation, contact us at ITR Economics!

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