What is included in a Company Forecast?
What is the difference between purchasing a Company Forecast and purchasing an EVP™ program?
What is the process for purchasing a Company Forecast?
[Why should I choose ITR Economics for forecasting my business?]
There are quite a few advantages to working with our firm. We’re accurate, actionable, mobile-friendly, easily accessible, quick to respond, business oriented, friendly, and employ a unique methodology unlike any other firm.
While ITR Economics is an economics firm that specializes in forecasting, our economists and services are business oriented. We track and forecast the data, but we also understand that the application of this knowledge is extremely important.
ITR is the oldest continuously operating, privately held economic forecasting firm in the United States. We were founded in 1948, and our forecasting accuracy is unparalleled. We can say this with confidence because we employ a unique methodology unlike any other forecasting firm in the market.
But our own confidence is not enough. We need you to be confident in our abilities so that you actively use the insights we provide in the daily management of your business. To foster this confidence, we provide transparency and readily share our forecast accuracy.
What categories of data do you have available to use as leading indicators for my business’s forecast?
Our robust database of 10,000-plus datasets includes our own ITR Economics proprietary indicators, the highly recommended macroeconomic indicators, and indicators for major industries such as construction, finance, and commodities, as well as vertical markets within the overall manufacturing industry.
Our ITR proprietary indicators give your business the competitive advantage of seeing further into the future with confidence. Our ITR Leading Indicator™, for example, originally developed in the 1980s, has not miscalled or missed calling a US recession since its inception. Our economists and analysists continue to develop new indicators in order to provide the farthest-looking, most reliable foresight for our clients.
How do I know that my business will relate well to the indicators?
In order to ensure we provide an accurate forecast for you, we perform a data-vetting process prior to finalizing any agreement. This way, we ensure your data works well with our rate-of-change methodology.
How many years of data history do I need?
It is important to provide monthly data going back at least seven years. As a rule, the longer the data history, the more accurate the forecast.
What data should I send to you?
What is a leading indicator?
It is a dataset that offers strong predictability for your own data’s cyclical movement through business cycles. A leading indicator’s turns in the business cycle precede your turns, and you can use that timing to see into your company's future with a great deal of accuracy. We like to think of a train. Each industry is its own rail car. Your business is also a rail car. Our team identifies which industries precede your rail car on the train, and by how much. When the train track makes a turn, you then know how much time you have before your company makes that turn.
What constitutes a “best” indicator?
We identify those indicators that are most applicable to what your business does, offer the best predictability for your turning points, and provide the longest lead time.