94.7% FORECAST ACCURACY   ||  BUSINESS-MINDED ECONOMISTS   ||  UNBIASED AND APOLITICAL

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News ITR Experts Say

Economic Recovery in 2025: Trust, and Also Verify
By ITR Economics on July 7, 2023

Our clients and audiences generally trust our forecast for a recession in the US industrial sector beginning in the second half of 2023 and GDP weakness next year. However, some have...

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Internal Forecasting Strategic Planning

4 Ways ITR Economics Can Help Struggling Businesses Reach Their Goals
By ITR Economics on June 29, 2023

We have now reached the halfway point of the year! How has your business performed during these first six months? Have you hit all your marks so far? If the answer is no, do not worry! If...

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From the President's Desk Global

Hong Kong Is Not Faring Well Under Tightened Chinese Control
By Alan Beaulieu on June 27, 2023

Hong Kong’s GDP and stock market have both been underperforming since before COVID-19.

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DataCast Internal Forecasting

The Importance of Using Leading Indicator Inputs
By ITR Economics on June 22, 2023

The unique methodology we use for all our forecasts at ITR Economics is what helps make our overall accuracy rating stand out at 94.7%. Alongside our business cycle theory and...

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ITR Experts Say Retail

Consumer Data Alone: Pain Ahead for US Retail and Hence Economy
By ITR Economics on June 15, 2023

It is time for a consumer check-up. As of now: The US Consumer Credit Card Delinquency Rate is at 2.53%, up 105 basis points from a 2Q21 low. The US Consumer Loan Delinquency Rate is at...

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Insights from Our CEO

A "Strong" Economy? Time to Face Reality
By Brian Beaulieu on June 8, 2023

“The Economy is Strong.” No, it is NOT. Time for a reality check and to prepare for reality! Essentially the only primary gauge regarding the US economy that is strong is the labor market,...

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