Fed Rate Cut Not Enough to Correct Yield Curve Inversion
ITR Economics Consulting Principal and Chief Economist Brian Beaulieu reviews the September Federal Funds Rate cut and latest yield curve data.
Read the latest blog posts from the experts at ITR Economics about market and industry insights, actionable business advice, and topical economic trends.
ITR Economics Consulting Principal and Chief Economist Brian Beaulieu reviews the September Federal Funds Rate cut and latest yield curve data.
Whether your business is facing a soft landing or hard landing, find out how ITR Economics can help steer your company in the right direction!
Labor trends went through some turbulence in the COVID era. What are these changes and what do they mean for your business?
ITR Economics Senior Forecaster and Presenter Connor Lokar provides insight into the rise of AI technology and its potential impact on the economy.
ITR Economics Consulting Principal Jackie Greene outlines the right leading indicator data to follow in order to move into 2025 with confidence.
These are four of the biggest challenges the healthcare industry must face and overcome as we get closer to the depression of the 2030s.
Business leaders have many crucial decisions to make ahead of the 2030s depression. Find out how ITR Economics' Financial Resilience program can help...
Consumers are handling their debt loads well, but will they be able to thrive on saved income in this sluggish macroeconomy?
With the Federal Reserve Board lowering interest rates in September, what are the positive and negative ways the cuts could impact the US consumer?
What kind of impact might distributed to paid-in capital have on private equity deal-making in 2024 and beyond? Learn more from our partners at Crowe!
Use ITR Economics' stock market insights found in the Trends Report™ to help you with your investment strategy and planning for the future.
ITR Economics Consulting Principal and Chief Economist Brian Beaulieu reviews the data behind both the positives and negatives for the housing market.
Tune in to this Business Series Webinar with ITR Senior Forecaster Connor Lokar he dives into the data behind the latest trends in the US energy...
ITR Economics Consulting Managing Director Eric Post provides insight into the data behind data center construction, as well as risks and...
Tune in to this Business Series Webinar with ITR Senior Forecaster Connor Lokar he dives into the data behind the latest reshoring and FDI trends.
Understanding the economic factors influencing your business’s trajectory is key in this cycle. Learn about the strengths and weaknesses of the US...
As we approach the coming depression of the 2030s, there are four key items you need to consider when building a marketing strategy for the next...
In light of the stock market volatility of Monday, August 5, ITR Economics Consulting Principal Jackie Greene breaks down why the sky is NOT falling.
Private equity groups are facing several economic barriers to success in 2024. Gain insight into the top 3 biggest challenges for private equity...
Read a blog from ITR Economics Partner Jackie Greene to discover the reasons why porting your mortgage has benefits for you and for the economy.
Recently released data for Data Center Construction, a subsegment of Office Construction, reveals a hidden opportunity. Learn about the latest trends...
See why ITR Economics advises making gold and other precious metals a significant part of your wealth-creating strategy in the 2030s.
Information is always at our fingertips. However, every media organization is biased in some way. Read about the dangers of misleading news headlines...
ITR Economist and Speaker Michael Feuz provides our outlook for the US manufacturing industry in 2024 and over the next few years.
Tune in to this Business Series Webinar with ITR Senior Forecaster Connor Lokar as he takes a look at trends and predictions for Mexico’s economy.
Halfway through 2024, are your bookings on track with your projections and is your revenue on track to meet your year-end goal?
To help nonresidential construction businesses strategize for the 2030s depression, these 4 pieces of advice will help you through the rest of the...
As you build your Financial Bunker ahead of the 2030s, see why you need a strong tax advisor on your financial team in the latest blog from Brian...
ITR Economist Director Eric Post provides insight into the state of high-tech manufacturing, semiconductors, and other high-tech applications in...
Tune in to this Business Series Webinar with ITR Senior Forecaster Connor Lokar as he takes a look at AI, automation, and productivity.
Just because inventories are elevated relative to the past does not mean they are excess. Find out what you need to know when assessing your...
Join ITR Economics and ButcherJoseph & Co. for a webinar on Wednesday, June 26, 2024, as we help businesses prepare for the 2030s economic depression.
ITR Economics Account Executive Lyndsay Wornham is the host of our new show, By the Numbers™, alongside ITR Economist Lauren Saidel-Baker. Learn more...
There are signals that inventories are normalizing relative to pre-pandemic trajectories. Could this signal opportunities for margin improvement in...
This month, ITR's economists Taylor St. Germain and Lauren Saidel-Baker will be joining Crowe's experts for two free webinars on June 24 and June 25.
The Trends Report is one of our most popular services, but what makes it stand out? See how it can help maximize your business's advantages here!
As you build your Financial Bunker ahead of the 2030s depression, you should be considering foreign bonds. See why in the latest blog from Brian...
Chief Outsiders Managing Partner Paul Sparrow highlights how insights from ITR Economics can help businesses through economic uncertainty.
With the 2030s depression coming, the Financial Resilience program helps you discover where your business has been, where it is now, and where it is...
The US single-family construction market is rising, but what about the multi-family market? How do regional trends differ and where are the...
Tune in to this Business Series Webinar with ITR Senior Forecaster Connor Lokar as he takes a deep dive into the trends within the US aerospace...
Inflation is always a hot topic for both business leaders and consumers. How is inflation impacting my business in 2024? Read this blog to find out!
There are always ways to make money. Brian and Alan Beaulieu are going to get into some of the whys, whats, and how much for the decade of the 2030s.
1Q24 US Steel Scrap Producer Prices were 4.1% lower than what they were in 1Q23. What will happen with Steel Prices this year, and what will be the...
Facing the looming depression of the 2030s may seem daunting. Find out how you can overcome the fear by using it as motivation to prepare for the...
Recent automotive trends are favorable from a historical standpoint but are moving in the wrong direction, foreshadowing stagnation ahead in the...
When building your Financial Bunker ahead of the 2030s, see why you should prepare for a shift in wealth creation as you plan your investment...
ITR Economics has announced a new tier for its popular Insider™ membership – Insider Plus™. This new membership will include the By the Numbers...
ITR Economist Derek Stanley provides our outlook for residential construction in 2024, the challenges our clients are facing, and offers actionable...
Rise and labor market tightness are expected for US Private Sector Employment through 2026. But the data suggests that the market tightness is not...
As we make our way into the second half of the 2020s, ITR Economics outlines the many business opportunities you can't miss out on ahead of the 2030s.
Macroeconomic metrics such as overall US B2B spending are important to watch, but they do not always tell the whole story. Trends in your world may...
Tune in to this Business Series Webinar with ITR Senior Forecaster Connor Lokar as he takes a deep dive into US defense spending and our outlook.
The federal government has collected more revenue so far this fiscal year than last, but federal spending has also increased, and by a greater amount.
Find out why a Financial Bunker is an essential step to take ahead of the 2030s depression with the latest blog from ITR Economics CEO Brian...
Learn how businesses can overcome 3 of the biggest long-term challenges executives face for the rest of the 2020s: labor, inflation, and interest...
A look at the US housing construction market suggests that some regions offer a greater opportunity than others. What does it mean for the economy?
Whether you plan to sell your business or keep your business through the 2030s depression, ITR Economics can help you become successful. Find out how!
The increase in jobs from January to February brought much of media attention. But what does the data say as we look at this job growth in further...
US Manufacturing is currently in a recession. How long will this recession last, and what's in store for manufacturing in 2025? Find out here!
Are you looking to buy a new home or maybe waiting to get the best deal? How long should you wait? Find out with our new blog on the housing market!
Tune in to this Business Series Webinar with ITR Senior Forecaster Connor Lokar to learn about the risks and opportunities in the service sector.
With an economic depression approaching, here are 5 key pieces of advice from ITR Economics you can use when leading your business through the 2030s.
Real Personal Income is rising, and consumers are faring relatively well despite inflation. See what this means in for the economy and GDP trend for...
ITR Economics has changed its forecast for GDP (in inflation-adjusted dollars). See what has changed and what remains the same in our blog.
ITR Economics receives many questions about the 2030s Great Depression. Here are 3 common questions our new 10-year forecast will help you answer!
Where are some of the major industries the US economy now in 2024? See where industries such as manufacturing and construction are in the business...
The January jobs numbers signal some easing for the labor market. See why this report is not necessarily a bullish signal for the US Industrial...
US Consumers are posting record-high credit card debt balances. How might credit card trends and higher interest rates impact consumer spending? Find...
Each US state will have its own opportunities and challenges during the next depression. These are top 5 best and worst states to be in during the...
Tune in to this Business Series Webinar with ITR Senior Forecaster Connor Lokar to see learn about regional performance differences in US...
Get a custom 10-year forecast from ITR Economics to help you guide your business through the rest of the 2020s and the upcoming 2030s depression!
Houthi militants have been attacking ships in and near the Red Sea since November 2023. Could these actions have a significant economic impact on the...
To help improve your real estate investment strategy, our new Investment Property Analysis will help you prepare for what the 2030s depression will...
Tune in to this Business Series Webinar with ITR Senior Forecaster Connor Lokar to see how different industry and regional labor market trends stack...
ITR Economics recently announced a brand-new update for the ITR Economics Insider™ interface - available now on the ITR onDemand portal and mobile...
See how a financial bunker can help you best capitalize on both the top and bottom of the macroeconomic cycle as we navigate through the 2030s...
New data shows widespread decline across the manufacturing sector. If the Fed is looking for reasons to lower interest rates, this may be another one.
We receive many questions centered around the 2030s Great Depression. ITR Economics CEO Brian Beaulieu is here to answer 3 of the most common...
Current events often influence the media and its speculation of the stock market. ITR Economics’ economists provide clear, actionable advice to...
Many will be caught off guard by the coming depression. If they do not have plans in place, individuals and their businesses will face serious...
Millennials and Gen Z-ers must start preparing now for the economic depression that will come in the 2030s. Here is what you can start doing now!
$500 billion in charitable donations were made in 2022. What does the data suggest for contributions made in 2023, and what can we expect to see in...
The US is shifting its trading relationship relative to China.
ITR Economics is projecting that the disinflation will continue to be uneven but still yield lower inflation as we progress through 2024.
Both US Electric Vehicle Retail Sales and US Hybrid Vehicle Retail Sales have risen markedly since the COVID shutdowns in 2020. See the data here.
Were you able to hit your goals for the year? With the economy heading toward a recession, here are 3 reasons why you might have missed your sales...
An industrial sector recession is rapidly approaching. Learn about some key economic positives - and how to capitalize on them - as we head into 2024!
Private Domestic Fixed Investment is poised to decline, and the trend will likely last into early 2025. What does this mean for your business?
We have highlighted a few of the best business strategies you can apply this coming year to set your business up for success following the 2024...
Join ITR Economics in a deep dive into the world of automotive production though the lens of economic data. Become an Insider member to learn more!
Ongoing current events could impact your business decisions and investments. Here is what you need to know about the stock market heading into 2024.
ITR Economics CEO and Chief Economist Brian Beaulieu provides his 3 key takeaways from the recent 3Q23 US GDP data.
ITR Economics CEO and Chief Economist Brian Beaulieu provides a GDP update for 3Q23.
Brian and Alan Beaulieu will delve deeper into our 2030s Great Depression outlook from the individual perspective rather than as a macroeconomic...
Since the COVID-related shutdowns of 2020, we have heard much about near sourcing and onshoring trends. What does the data say about these trends?
Growing economic troubles in Europe foreshadow a recession ahead. What does the data say, and how might this impact your business? Find out here!
With a recession looming, it is crucial for distributors to understand the potential implications to the distribution industry and strategize for...
ITR Economics CEO and Chief Economist Brian Beaulieu outlines the many reasons why we anticipate that the 2030s Great Depression will extend for 6...
The period following the 2030s Great Depression will be a once-in-a-lifetime opportunity for wealth creation. See these money-making opportunities...
US single-family housing construction has been showing rise despite mixed signals with affordability. When will the time be right to buy a home?
The media's latest headlines and soundbites about inflation seem a bit alarming. Is there cause for concern? Find out in a blog from ITR Economics.
To help you gain a better understanding of the upcoming recession next year, here is a comparison of the 2020 COVID-19 recession vs. the 2024...
Trends in wages and job openings are suggesting relief for employers in a tight labor market. Learn more with the latest blog from ITR Economics!
This webinar provides business owners with key insights into how to invest in a recessionary environment and why opportunities remain attractive.
ITR Economics CEO Brian Beaulieu answers three more questions from our 2030s Great Depression webinar on real estate, federal deficit spending, and...
As your company works through the budget planning process for 2024, proper use of the business cycle will help you lead your team on the path to...
Identifying a recession is not always concise or straightforward. ITR Economics is here to help you and your business prepare for what is to come in...
Consumer behavior often changes based on economic conditions. Learn how to form an effective pricing strategy for your business after the 2024...
Dynamic budgeting can help your business adapt to varying economic conditions so that you are not stuck with an outdated and irrelevant business...
ITR Economics President Alan Beaulieu answers 5 more questions we received during the July 27, 2023, webinar about the 2030s Great Depression.
An economic depression will arrive at the turn of the decade, but when will the 2030s Great Depression end? Learn about the timeline from ITR...
We anticipate that inflation will reach a cyclical low in the latter half of 2024. Will the relief last? Find out in a new blog from ITR Economics!
ITR Economics CEO and Chief Economist Brian Beaulieu answers three questions we received during the 2030s Great Depression Update webinar on July 27,...
We anticipate that inflation will reach a cyclical low in the latter half of 2024. Will the relief last? Find out in a new blog from ITR Economics!
ITR Economics has been forecasting the next Great Depression since 2014. Is there any hope that the 2030s Great Depression can be prevented? Find out!
How can understanding future pricing trends help your business prosper all the more during the economic rise projected for 2025? Find out here!
Join ITR Economics as we unveil our 2024 manufacturing atlas – a comprehensive business roadmap this September. Become an Insider member to learn...
The US single-family housing market is poised for recovery in late 2023 followed by growth in 2024 and 2025. Become an Insider member to learn more!
Do you know how your business will perform in 2024? As you begin to prepare for the fall budget planning season, ITR Economics can help with accurate...
Things are changing in China. See why these changes are not for the better as ITR Economics President Alan Beaulieu highlights four key economic...
We are pleased to announce that ITR Economist and Speaker Taylor St. Germain is taking over as the official host of TrendsTalk.
Total Manufacturing in the US is heading into a recession. See the data behind our outlook with a blog from ITR Economics CEO Brian Beaulieu.
Some people have recently expressed less confidence about our outlook for economic rise in 2025. See what the data says about our 2025 forecast.
Is your business struggling to hit its marks this year? Here are 4 ways ITR Economics can help your company reach its goals for 2023 and beyond.
Hong Kong’s GDP and stock market have both been underperforming since before COVID-19.
With a comprehensive understanding of the importance of using these indicator inputs, you will be well on your way to seeing the future for your...
It is time for a consumer check-up.
Congress and the administration are engaged in high drama over raising the debt ceiling.
Trends in both income and home prices have started to counteract the affordability challenges that have plagued the residential construction market.
Media noise distracts from the only thing that matters when it comes to assessing the state of the economy: actual data
DataCast Pro helps provide businesses with a clear roadmap for the future, no matter the economic conditions ahead.
Energy resources are half the issue. A significant investment in infrastructure for generation and distribution is needed.
Economic decline often brings negativity from the media or your own team. Here are some helpful tips for how to overcome negativity during a...
How can businesses find opportunity and protect against downside risks within the nonresidential construction space?
Congress and the administration are engaged in high drama over raising the debt ceiling.
Commodity prices falling as input costs is one important factor. Labor is another.
Make sure your business is prepared and ready to capitalize on the opportunities following the 2024 recession with help from ITR Economics.
Use caution if you are planning on investing in commercial real estate.
Here are a couple datapoints that support our expectation that next year’s recession will be relatively mild.
Learn all about the exciting new updates and enhancements coming to the DataCast Pro™️ program, available now from ITR Economics.
The health of the consumer helps inform our expectations for the service sector and how it will be impacted by the upcoming downturn.
ITR Economics provides some helpful resources to help your business start the budget planning process later this fall.
Some recent developments in the labor market are, on balance, a positive for the overall economy.
With many commodities in deflationary territory, we will look at our forecasts for the remainder of 2023 and into 2024.
Home prices are down from record highs. A declining trend is evident for existing and new homes.
Fully customize your Executive Vantage Point™️ (EVP) report with these consulting service add-ons from ITR Economics.
Learn about the 3 key things you cannot forget when building a long-term business strategy with help from ITR Economics.
How can your business mitigate the pain that will accompany the industrial sector recession we are forecasting for the second half of 2023 and...
ITR Economics is excited to announce our new partnership with provider of fractional CFO services, FocusCFO.
“Seeing the Future First” is important at ITR Economics, as it sums up our purpose and our passion.
What are your most burning questions regarding the 2030s Great Depression? We want to hear from you!
There has been some easing in labor availability issues amid slowing macroeconomic growth, and there will be more ahead with the coming recession.
Here is what we are seeing on the inflation front.
Are you worried about the coming recession? Learn how to prepare your business for the 2024 recession with insights from ITR Economics.
Practically speaking, you cannot change the trajectory of the US industrial economy. But you can adjust your sails.
We are not going to escape this inverse yield curve unscathed. Join us for an update of the threats, opportunities, and forecast risks for 2023 -...
ITR Economics is forecasting a recession to begin at the end of the year. Since they can vary in their severity, how bad will the 2024 recession be?
ITR Economics has dedicated a lot of time and energy to helping people and businesses prepare for the coming depression.
See how ITR Economics’ Core Values help our clients succeed in this reflection on an interview with Vallen Distribution.
Identifying the right datasets can be difficult, especially when the particular circumstances you are researching for implications and trends are...
Two known downside risks for our GDP and US Total Industrial Production outlooks through 2025 relate to monetary policy.
Make sure your business strategy is effective with the support of an EVP report and accurate sales forecast from ITR Economics.
The forecasted length and severity of the 2024 recession is subject to certain variables tied to US monetary policy.
We know that one of the best ways to become a trusted advisor is to provide trustworthy information.
After learning how long the next depression will last, see what the world will look like after the 2030s Great Depression with a blog from ITR...
ITR Economics will examine how the COVID-Echoes have impacted our view of the 2020s and to what extent we need to alter our outlook for the 2030s.
What better time than the start of a new year to make some changes to your business planning strategy that will pay dividends in 2023 and beyond?
While we have spent much of these past two months discussing our domestic outlook, this webinar will take a global perspective.
ITR Economics is here to help teach you how to start building a 5-year business strategy for your company with the help of our business partners.
Get our most up-to-date forecast for the US industrial economy so you can effectively plan for the upcoming highs and lows.
The upcoming 2024 recession will not be restricted to the US, as Europe is also heading toward an economic recession in 2024 alongside the US.
There is often risk of losing work during an economic depression. Lower that risk with these helpful tips for workers ahead of the 2030s Great...
Private nonresidential sector will be in cyclical rise through the majority of 2023 - prepare to marshal your resources and energies accordingly.
One of the most frequent questions we are getting lately is “Has your outlook for 2023 changed?” The answer: yes and no.
Private nonresidential sector will be in cyclical rise through the majority of 2023 - prepare to marshal your resources and energies accordingly.
With insight into your industry’s future, you can effectively plan a full cycle ahead for your company and make a positive impact.
ITR Economics is gearing up to change some forecasts for 2024 and 2025.
Forecasts for key macroeconomic metrics give us insight into where the US economy is headed, but it is important to remember that not all industries...
2023 will be a better year for your business if you can avoid some missteps that would prove detrimental.
While conceived so long ago, the Trends Report has adapted to the times to stay current with the needs of today’s businesses.
Real (inflation-adjusted) GDP grew at a normal pace from June to September, and the 3MMA established a record high
If confirmed, this rise will mark a departure from the first and second quarters’ back-to-back instances of decline.
Tune in for insights on our disinflation outlook for 2023, commodity price trends, and more.
Learn all about the key differences between a recession vs depression at ITR Economics.
The US dollar, measured against the euro, is at its strongest point since November 2002 on a 3MMA (three-month moving average) basis.
Every company should have plans for when business is booming and when business is struggling.
CPI inflation did not increase in September. It declined, coming in at 8.2% – down from August’s 8.3%.
The availability of labor is an almost universal issue in business today, and the problem will be with us for years to come.
With the right business planning strategies, your company’s highs can be even higher, and you can avoid the most disastrous of lows.
The same factors that were bumps during the business cycle ascent in 2021 are now helping position us for a soft landing ahead.
The same factors that were bumps during the business cycle ascent in 2021 are now helping position us for a soft landing ahead.
We do not expect the economy in general will be derailed or subsequently aided because of Ian.
In this webinar, we will cover the trends in nonresidential construction to provide context for market opportunities and risks in 2023 and beyond.
The prospect of a second Great Depression may seem scary, but there are many things you can do now to best prepare for the 2030s Great Depression.
Check out our quick overview of the difference between microeconomics vs. macroeconomics that will help you improve your business’ decision-making...
The global economy is now firmly on the back side of the business cycle, and challenges are mounting for distributors.
Do you know how a business such as yours should perform, all internal factors being equal and contending purely with the market at large?
The Federal Reserve raised its benchmark federal funds rate by 75 basis points on September 21, which was not a surprise to most people.
Is your company ready for the second Great Depression? Find out how to prepare your business for the 2030s Great Depression with help from ITR...
A podcast for business leaders who are seeking guidance in making informed, profitable decisions.
Our objective? We pride ourselves on being first in forecasts worldwide. We deliver the best economic intelligence so you can approach crucial decisions with reliable foresight and meet or exceed your business goals.
Listen as we discuss market- and industry-specific topics leaving you with answers to, “What’s next for the economy?” and “How should I be preparing?”
What trends are contributing to this forecast? How should businesses prepare throughout the 2020s? Are there any factors that could change this forecast? Download our free eBook to start preparing today.
Pinpoint what phase of the business cycle your business is in and spot changes in the business cycle well before they take place with our proprietary methodology.