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'On the Brink'? Germany's Recession Is More Severe Than 2013

A recent Wall Street Journal article stated that Germany is on the brink of recession. We are here to ensure you aren’t operating under any misconceptions. The reality is that ...
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Transparency = Trust: The Getting Naked Approach

Have you ever noticed that all forecasters think they are right, and then when they are not, it’s okay because, after all, they are just forecasters, not fortunetellers?
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Housing: Six Signs of a Better Year Ahead

US Single-Unit Housing Starts are turning the corner to cyclical rise, and that is good news for us all because Starts serve as a bellwether for the entire economy. This green ...
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Insights From Our CEO: Looking Ahead to 2020 and Beyond

If you have noticed your business slowing down or activity becoming spotty, plan on working through the slowdown phase of the business cycle through the first half of 2020. ...
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ITR Experts Say: Are Shipping Rates Another Threat to Trade?

In a recent blog post, I outlined the US’ shifting trade relationship with the rest of the world. In short, China is no longer our top trading partner; both Canada and Mexico ...
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ITR Experts Say: The Timing of the Next Cyclical Low

The US Industrial Production Index is ITR’s benchmark for the overall economy. Production is up 2.8% on a year-over-year basis (12/12 as of July 2019), and the data trend is ...
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