We anticipate that inflation – as measured by the US Bureau of Labor Statistics’ Consumer Price Index quarterly rate-of-change – will reach a cyclical low in the latter half of 2024.
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We anticipate that inflation – as measured by the US Bureau of Labor Statistics’ Consumer Price Index quarterly rate-of-change – will reach a cyclical low in the latter half of 2024.
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As we approach the upcoming US industrial sector recession that we are projecting to take hold in the coming months and persist into late 2024, many companies will find it to their...
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At ITR Economics, we have a full team of excellent economists with years of experience helping businesses navigate through the sometimes troubled waters of the economy. For some time now, ...
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Our clients and audiences generally trust our forecast for a recession in the US industrial sector beginning in the second half of 2023 and GDP weakness next year. However, some have...
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It is time for a consumer check-up. As of now: The US Consumer Credit Card Delinquency Rate is at 2.53%, up 105 basis points from a 2Q21 low. The US Consumer Loan Delinquency Rate is at...
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Affordability = Earnings + Home Prices + Mortgage Rates + Size What is new: Earnings are rising (adjusted for inflation). Home prices are declining. Mortgage rates are down. Single-family...
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