Real (i.e., inflation-adjusted) personal income – as earned for productive economic participation – is at a record high. This bodes well for the overall economy because it means the...
Continue Reading94.7% FORECAST ACCURACY || BUSINESS-MINDED ECONOMISTS || UNBIASED AND APOLITICAL
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Real (i.e., inflation-adjusted) personal income – as earned for productive economic participation – is at a record high. This bodes well for the overall economy because it means the...
Continue ReadingThe Fed appears intent to quell the inflation that they helped create. They have indicated that they intend to make up for lost time with an aggressive schedule of rate hikes. Quantitative...
Continue ReadingThis is either a glass-half-full or glass-half-empty moment as you look at the chart below. How you perceive the trends on the chart likely says a lot about your expectations. You could...
Continue ReadingFrom the President's Desk Finance
At least half of investors check in on their investments at least once a day. Some of you, I would guess, are saying, "Just once?” It is an easy habit to get into and it is encouraged by...
Continue ReadingWe first showed the chart below at the December 2020 ITR Webinar hosted by Alan Beaulieu and me. At the time, the M2 Money Supply 12/12 rate-of-change was still rising, and we correctly...
Continue ReadingThe Federal Reserve is downshifting from overt stimulus to a more normal policy stance. This may not have the effect that some people are expecting, and not along the timeline others are...
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