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Insights from Our CEO Budget Planning

Inflation Update: 3 Things to Know
By Brian Beaulieu on March 2, 2023

Our view toward where inflation is heading clearly indicates the Federal Reserve could stop raising the fed funds rate immediately if they wanted to despite the very low unemployment rate....

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Insights from Our CEO Internal Forecasting

The 2 Big Known Risks to Our Macroeconomic Outlook
By Brian Beaulieu on February 2, 2023

We endeavor to let people know what the upside and downside risks are in association with every forecast we publish. There are always risks that we must weigh when generating a forecast. In...

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Insights from Our CEO Global

2024 Recession Will Not Be Restricted to the US
By Brian Beaulieu on January 3, 2023

Europe Industrial Production is holding up quite well despite the economic stresses imposed by Russia’s energy policies toward Western Europe and the Ukraine war in general. There is a...

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Insights from Our CEO Strategic Planning

The Inverse Yield Curve is Upon Us
By Brian Beaulieu on December 6, 2022

ITR Economics is gearing up to change some forecasts for 2024 and 2025. The reason is the 3-month Treasury yield is running above the 10-year Treasury yield, and the situation has persisted...

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Insights from Our CEO Budget Planning

The Strong US Dollar – How Much Longer?
By Brian Beaulieu on November 3, 2022

The US dollar, measured against the euro, is at its strongest point since November 2002 on a 3MMA (three-month moving average) basis. This is a change of 14.7% from one year ago and 18.3%...

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News Insights from Our CEO

Hurricane Ian and What It Means for the Future
By Brian Beaulieu on October 12, 2022

While we often carry ourselves as heartless economists to preserve our unbiased analysis, our thoughts and hearts go out to the victims of Hurricane Ian in Lee County/Fort. Myers, Florida.

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