From the President's Desk Retail
I saw this headline: “Consumer spending slowed in July as inflation remained…” I read that as a clear statement of correlation between something vaguely negative (“slowed”) and inflation....
Continue Reading94.7% FORECAST ACCURACY || BUSINESS-MINDED ECONOMISTS || UNBIASED AND APOLITICAL
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From the President's Desk Retail
I saw this headline: “Consumer spending slowed in July as inflation remained…” I read that as a clear statement of correlation between something vaguely negative (“slowed”) and inflation....
Continue ReadingFrom the President's Desk Internal Forecasting
Using “market trends” is my way of drawing attention to the exact opposite – specifically, that many markets are behaving differently than our macro trends. Nevertheless, ITR Economics’...
Continue ReadingFrom the President's Desk Shipping & Trade
Freight costs seem to be on everyone’s mind as we talk to clients individually and as we deliver keynotes. The US Long-Distance General Freight Trucking Truckload Producer Price Index (PPI)...
Continue ReadingFrom the President's Desk Strategic Planning
There is a pessimism building in the business and banking community. That pessimism leads some noteworthy institutions to project a recession in the US later this year. There is also...
Continue ReadingFrom the President's Desk Construction
ITR Economics is forecasting a soft landing for GDP in late 2022 and into the first half of 2023. (Please note that a hard landing, or recession, would be two consecutive quarters of GDP...
Continue ReadingFrom the President's Desk Finance
At least half of investors check in on their investments at least once a day. Some of you, I would guess, are saying, "Just once?” It is an easy habit to get into and it is encouraged by...
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